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Red32
64816.1
478712.2
198626.7
Blue69
11130.3
202215.1
888013.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5551204060801003269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#19
26.71.5
26.825.4
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 3.6
111
#7
30.31.2
22.623.7
Auto11.5
Teleop17.7
End1.1
Second
648
#26
16.11.5
13.512.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.3
red by 1.1
2022
#31
15.11.2
13.114.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End1.2
Third
4787
#15
12.21.5
8.87.3
Auto7.1
Teleop3.0
End2.2
blue by 0.9
8880
#13
13.21.2
10.711.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed