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Red54
47029.1
306714.4
593428.5
Blue83
173628.2
204012.8
302322.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5474204060801001205483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.2
27.627.8
Auto10.0
Teleop15.4
End3.1
red by 0.3
28.20.6
26.827.4
Auto11.9
Teleop15.6
End0.7
Second
3067
#40
14.40.2
14.714.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.1
End0.6
blue by 8.1
3023
#24
22.50.6
24.525.1
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End2.3
Third
4702
#49
9.10.3
8.99.2
Auto5.3
Teleop1.9
End2.0
blue by 3.6
2040
#29
12.80.6
12.913.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsMissed61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned