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Red51
215110.0
162219.0
238325.9
Blue48
642123.3
96548.5
465519.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605602040801001201405148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#11
25.90.2
24.524.3
Auto8.2
Teleop15.6
End2.1
red by 2.6
6421
#34
23.30.6
21.821.3
Auto10.6
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Second
1622
#16
19.00.2
20.019.8
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.2
Level
4655
#22
19.10.6
20.520.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End4.2
Third
2151
#43
10.00.3
9.39.0
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End1.8
red by 1.5
9654
#50
8.50.9
8.98.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed