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Qual 812024 Midwest Regional
Red44
11221.8
858125.6
756010.0
Blue85
465519.1
478712.2
35944.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63892040801001201404485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8581
#12
25.61.2
26.8→25.6
Auto11.0
Teleop12.1
End2.5
blue by 19.0
359
#3
44.60.2
45.6→45.7
Auto15.3
Teleop23.2
End6.2
Second
112
#28
21.81.2
21.8→20.6
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End-0.5
red by 2.8
4655
#22
19.10.2
20.0→20.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End4.2
Third
7560
#45
10.01.6
11.6→10.0
Auto5.1
Teleop4.3
End0.6
blue by 2.3
4787
#15
12.20.2
12.1→12.2
Auto7.1
Teleop3.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed67%Ensemble oddsEarned