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Red64
202215.1
908213.6
940627.6
Blue26
17393.7
46459.1
958517.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions643102040801006426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9406
#17
27.60.7
26.627.2
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End1.9
red by 9.9
9585
#35
17.70.5
18.217.7
Auto7.1
Teleop8.3
End2.3
Second
2022
#31
15.10.7
14.415.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End1.2
red by 6.0
4645
#32
9.10.4
9.59.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Third
9082
#41
13.60.7
13.013.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End3.1
red by 9.9
1739
#47
3.70.5
4.33.7
Auto2.7
Teleop0.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed