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Red101
175636.4
631717.7
248143.5
Blue47
233832.7
11122.2
203919.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11280406010012014016010147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.0
43.643.5
Auto12.3
Teleop27.4
End3.8
red by 10.8
32.70.7
33.532.7
Auto11.7
Teleop16.3
End4.7
Second
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto13.4
Teleop18.0
End5.0
red by 14.1
111
#29
22.20.7
23.022.2
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Third
6317
#23
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 1.8
2039
#17
19.50.7
20.119.5
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End2.5