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Red42
369515.6
584724.8
335214.6
Blue34
11215.3
623711.0
270416.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3841203050604234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.3
13.613.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.4
End2.7
red by 8.0
2704
#21
16.81.1
12.511.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Second
3695
#28
15.60.3
9.19.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End1.8
red by 0.3
112
#20
15.31.1
13.912.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End0.5
Third
3352
#34
14.60.3
12.012.2
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End0.2
red by 3.5
6237
#35
11.01.1
10.29.1
Auto6.3
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed