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Red82
402828.5
175636.4
409615.3
Blue50
784818.7
414326.1
74176.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81532040601001201408250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.8
29.330.1
Auto13.4
Teleop18.0
End5.0
red by 10.2
4143
#11
26.10.6
26.325.8
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
28.50.8
25.226.0
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End4.3
red by 9.8
7848
#27
18.70.6
14.914.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End0.7
Third
4096
#22
15.30.8
15.416.2
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.0
red by 8.7
7417
#37
6.60.6
9.89.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed