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Red19
80245.4
11215.3
202212.6
Blue66
203919.5
544217.2
593422.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26550204060801001966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112
#20
15.32.0
12.810.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End0.5
blue by 7.1
5934
#14
22.51.6
15.517.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Second
2022
#25
12.62.0
8.36.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End-0.1
blue by 6.9
2039
#17
19.51.0
16.217.2
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End2.5
Third
8024
#33
5.42.0
5.63.6
Auto1.9
Teleop2.8
End0.7
blue by 11.9
5442
#24
17.21.0
14.515.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned