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Red53
88809.7
11215.3
11122.2
Blue54
203919.5
402828.5
431412.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4264020801001205354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#29
22.21.4
20.822.2
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End1.3
blue by 6.3
28.50.7
26.025.4
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End4.3
Second
112
#20
15.31.4
10.812.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End0.5
blue by 4.1
2039
#17
19.50.4
17.216.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End2.5
Third
8880
#30
9.71.4
8.910.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End2.6
blue by 2.9
4314
#18
12.60.7
11.611.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed