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Qual 322024 Central Illinois Regional
Red78
584724.8
14429.3
282617.9
Blue77
784818.7
908216.1
175636.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61633040507080901007877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#5
29.31.5
25.0→26.5
Auto13.1
Teleop14.7
End1.5
blue by 7.1
1756
#3
36.42.2
31.7→34.0
Auto13.4
Teleop18.0
End5.0
Second
5847
#6
24.82.5
16.2→18.7
Auto7.7
Teleop14.4
End2.7
red by 6.0
7848
#27
18.72.2
14.3→16.6
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End0.7
Third
2826
#19
17.92.5
14.1→16.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.6
red by 1.9
9082
#31
16.12.2
10.7→13.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsMissed