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Red63
631717.7
665118.9
17114.4
Blue54
431412.6
414326.1
335214.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505130354045556065706354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.91.3
11.713.0
Auto7.9
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 7.2
4143
#11
26.10.9
25.126.1
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
6317
#23
17.70.8
16.617.4
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End2.0
red by 3.1
3352
#34
14.60.9
9.110.1
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End0.2
Third
171
#26
14.41.3
17.819.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End1.6
red by 1.8
4314
#18
12.60.9
11.312.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed