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Red43
11215.3
51256.4
402828.5
Blue86
14429.3
233832.7
348819.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476202040801001201404386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.7
19.618.9
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End4.3
blue by 4.2
32.71.3
19.520.8
Auto11.7
Teleop16.3
End4.7
Second
112
#20
15.30.7
13.412.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End0.5
blue by 14.0
144
#5
29.31.1
21.923.1
Auto13.1
Teleop14.7
End1.5
Third
5125
#38
6.40.7
11.110.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 13.5
3488
#12
19.91.3
12.714.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed