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Qual 502024 Central Illinois Regional
Red60
582221.6
593422.5
202212.6
Blue86
369515.6
282617.9
175636.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4866204060801006086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5934
#14
22.51.5
19.2→20.7
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 13.9
1756
#3
36.43.0
31.8→34.8
Auto13.4
Teleop18.0
End5.0
Second
5822
#15
21.61.5
19.7→21.2
Auto6.6
Teleop13.6
End1.4
red by 3.7
2826
#19
17.93.0
15.4→18.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Third
2022
#25
12.61.5
6.6→8.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End-0.1
blue by 3.0
3695
#28
15.63.0
10.2→13.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned