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Red13
80245.4
431412.6
42139.4
Blue37
51256.4
306714.8
504118.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33510204060801337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4314
#18
12.61.8
13.411.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 6.0
18.61.6
18.917.3
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Second
4213
#36
9.41.8
13.511.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 5.4
3067
#16
14.81.6
17.215.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.9
End0.2
Third
8024
#33
5.41.8
5.23.4
Auto1.9
Teleop2.8
End0.7
blue by 1.0
5125
#38
6.41.6
7.96.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed