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Red87
202212.6
369515.6
248143.5
Blue58
173621.2
908216.1
11122.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705802040801001201401608758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.52.3
40.442.6
Auto12.3
Teleop27.4
End3.8
red by 21.3
111
#29
22.20.4
20.020.4
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Second
3695
#28
15.62.3
13.115.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End1.8
blue by 5.6
1736
#10
21.20.4
19.019.4
Auto8.4
Teleop12.2
End0.6
Third
2022
#25
12.62.3
8.110.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End-0.1
blue by 3.5
9082
#31
16.10.4
14.815.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed