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Red60
414326.1
270416.8
631717.7
Blue79
11215.3
175636.4
32535.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions581012040801201401606079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#11
26.10.0
26.126.2
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
blue by 10.2
36.40.9
34.833.9
Auto13.4
Teleop18.0
End5.0
Second
6317
#23
17.70.0
16.816.9
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 17.8
325
#8
35.50.6
35.334.7
Auto13.9
Teleop20.8
End0.8
Third
2704
#21
16.80.0
14.614.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End2.4
red by 1.5
112
#20
15.30.9
16.015.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed