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Red63
409615.3
270416.8
593422.5
Blue19
74176.6
17114.4
51256.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582902040801006319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5934
#14
22.50.9
20.721.6
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End2.7
red by 8.1
171
#26
14.40.9
15.314.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End1.6
Second
2704
#21
16.80.9
14.815.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End2.4
red by 10.2
7417
#37
6.60.9
7.56.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.1
End1.6
Third
4096
#22
15.30.9
13.914.9
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.0
red by 8.9
5125
#38
6.40.9
7.36.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed