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Red56
812227.4
348819.9
306714.8
Blue102
175636.4
14429.3
665118.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669040608010012014056102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8122
#13
27.40.7
27.727.0
Auto13.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
blue by 9.0
36.41.9
34.936.8
Auto13.4
Teleop18.0
End5.0
Second
3488
#12
19.90.9
19.718.8
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End0.7
blue by 9.4
144
#5
29.31.6
27.128.7
Auto13.1
Teleop14.7
End1.5
Third
3067
#16
14.80.9
15.414.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.9
End0.2
blue by 4.1
18.91.7
16.818.5
Auto7.9
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsEarned