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Red68
348819.9
504118.6
270416.8
Blue79
593422.5
173621.2
544217.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596640801006879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3488
#12
19.90.3
19.519.9
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End0.7
blue by 2.6
5934
#14
22.50.4
21.722.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Second
18.60.3
18.218.6
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End2.0
blue by 2.6
1736
#10
21.20.4
20.420.8
Auto8.4
Teleop12.2
End0.6
Third
2704
#21
16.80.3
16.516.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End2.4
blue by 0.5
5442
#24
17.20.3
16.516.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End2.1