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Red76
544217.2
173621.2
593422.5
Blue78
11215.3
414326.1
14429.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648220401001201407678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5934
#14
22.50.4
22.122.5
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 6.8
144
#5
29.30.1
29.729.8
Auto13.1
Teleop14.7
End1.5
Second
1736
#10
21.20.4
20.821.2
Auto8.4
Teleop12.2
End0.6
blue by 4.9
4143
#11
26.10.2
26.526.7
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
5442
#24
17.20.4
16.917.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End2.1
red by 1.9
112
#20
15.30.2
15.715.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End0.5