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Red113
14429.3
414326.1
11215.3
Blue75
282617.9
584724.8
582221.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7768304050609010011011375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#5
29.31.0
28.729.7
Auto13.1
Teleop14.7
End1.5
red by 4.5
24.80.3
24.124.4
Auto7.7
Teleop14.4
End2.7
Second
4143
#11
26.11.1
25.426.5
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
red by 4.5
5822
#15
21.60.3
21.021.3
Auto6.6
Teleop13.6
End1.4
Third
112
#20
15.31.1
14.615.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End0.5
blue by 2.6
2826
#19
17.90.3
17.317.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.6