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Red82
544217.2
173621.2
593422.5
Blue76
282617.9
584724.8
582221.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627130405080901001108276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5934
#14
22.50.5
21.221.7
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 2.3
24.80.3
24.424.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.4
End2.7
Second
1736
#10
21.20.5
19.920.4
Auto8.4
Teleop12.2
End0.6
blue by 0.4
5822
#15
21.60.3
21.321.6
Auto6.6
Teleop13.6
End1.4
Third
5442
#24
17.20.4
16.116.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End2.1
blue by 0.7
2826
#19
17.90.3
17.617.9
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.6