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Red50
544213.3
414331.8
283025.6
Blue79
11215.1
11130.7
233833.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80880501502002503003505079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.5
32.732.2
Auto12.3
Teleop16.2
End3.2
blue by 1.6
33.40.0
33.333.3
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End5.5
Second
25.60.5
26.526.0
Auto11.6
Teleop12.7
End1.3
blue by 5.1
111
#12
30.70.0
30.630.6
Auto10.8
Teleop19.0
End0.8
Third
5442
#22
13.30.5
14.313.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End1.9
blue by 1.8
112
#27
15.10.0
15.015.0
Auto7.5
Teleop7.4
End0.2