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Red30
888013.2
46128.1
806919.6
Blue108
427230.7
233833.4
504120.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions709702040608012014016030108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#15Sur
28.12.5
30.628.2
Auto7.8
Teleop18.3
End2.0
blue by 5.3
33.41.5
31.933.4
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End5.5
Second
8069
#13
19.62.5
23.120.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End2.9
blue by 11.1
30.71.5
30.432.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
Third
13.22.5
13.110.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End2.2
blue by 7.7
5041
#11Sur
20.91.5
22.724.2
Auto8.4
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
76%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsEarned