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Red55
62379.7
582226.8
33529.1
Blue22
36929.3
11215.1
42138.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5843020801001201401605522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5822
#10
26.80.3
27.828.1
Auto12.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
red by 11.7
112
#27
15.11.2
18.817.5
Auto7.5
Teleop7.4
End0.2
Second
6237
#21
9.70.3
11.511.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.8
End1.2
red by 0.5
3692
#23
9.31.2
10.28.9
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End0.7
Third
3352
#14
9.10.3
11.411.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End0.2
red by 1.2
4213
#33
8.01.2
11.710.4
Auto5.4
Teleop2.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed