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Red64
36929.3
888013.2
283025.6
Blue44
42138.0
270416.6
809621.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53501020304060706444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.5
26.426.9
Auto11.6
Teleop12.7
End1.3
red by 4.5
8096
#30
21.00.2
21.521.3
Auto11.2
Teleop7.0
End2.9
Second
13.20.5
11.011.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End2.2
blue by 3.5
2704
#28
16.60.2
17.717.4
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.7
Third
3692
#23
9.30.5
8.59.0
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End0.7
red by 1.3
4213
#33
8.00.2
8.28.0
Auto5.4
Teleop2.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsMissed