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Red59
465522.3
427230.7
11215.1
Blue55
593426.4
17112.3
233833.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75980501505955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.8
31.230.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
blue by 2.7
33.42.1
33.931.9
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End5.5
Second
22.30.8
19.518.8
Auto6.6
Teleop10.0
End5.7
blue by 4.1
5934
#25
26.42.1
35.032.9
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End2.3
Third
112
#27
15.10.8
19.518.8
Auto7.5
Teleop7.4
End0.2
red by 2.8
171
#16
12.32.1
17.315.2
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed72%Ensemble oddsMissed