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Red45
593426.4
11130.7
51253.2
Blue58
504120.9
888013.2
270416.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88600501001504558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#12
30.72.6
37.234.6
Auto10.8
Teleop19.0
End0.8
red by 9.8
5041
#11
20.90.3
23.022.7
Auto8.4
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Second
5934
#25
26.42.6
32.930.3
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End2.3
red by 9.8
2704
#28
16.60.3
21.421.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.7
Third
5125
#31
3.22.6
6.54.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.1
End0.0
blue by 10.0
13.20.3
13.413.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsMissed86%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed