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Red65
806919.6
642123.0
427230.7
Blue90
657418.4
203919.5
465522.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86610501001506590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.4
31.130.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
red by 8.4
22.30.2
21.521.7
Auto6.6
Teleop10.0
End5.7
Second
23.00.4
23.423.0
Auto12.4
Teleop9.8
End0.7
red by 3.5
2039
#17
19.50.2
18.618.9
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End2.9
Third
8069
#13
19.60.4
20.019.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End2.9
red by 1.2
18.40.2
17.517.7
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End2.3