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Red79
806919.6
642123.0
427230.7
Blue86
270416.6
11130.7
233833.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81920501502007986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.1
31.031.1
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
blue by 2.7
33.40.1
33.133.2
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End5.5
Second
23.00.1
23.323.4
Auto12.4
Teleop9.8
End0.7
blue by 7.7
111
#12
30.70.1
31.331.4
Auto10.8
Teleop19.0
End0.8
Third
8069
#13
19.60.1
19.920.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End2.9
red by 2.9
2704
#28
16.60.1
17.417.5
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.7