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Red88
306131.6
99996.4
233840.0
Blue103
175643.5
178121.9
248139.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7912505010015020025088103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.0
39.839.8
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End6.1
blue by 3.5
43.50.3
44.243.9
Auto12.3
Teleop25.8
End5.4
Second
3061
#11
31.60.0
31.531.5
Auto11.2
Teleop17.7
End2.8
blue by 8.2
39.80.3
40.640.3
Auto11.5
Teleop23.9
End4.4
Third
9999
#21
6.40.0
6.16.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 15.4
1781
#27
21.90.3
22.622.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End1.7