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Red25
93020.0
20409.0
414320.8
Blue78
248139.8
544211.8
657413.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6280020401001201401602578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#32
20.82.2
24.522.3
Auto10.5
Teleop8.6
End1.7
blue by 19.1
39.80.5
41.642.1
Auto11.5
Teleop23.9
End4.4
Second
930
#22
20.02.2
21.519.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End1.0
red by 6.8
6574
#10
13.20.5
15.215.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End0.9
Third
2040
#25
9.02.2
12.510.3
Auto5.5
Teleop2.1
End1.4
blue by 2.8
5442
#33
11.80.5
13.614.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed