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Red63
233840.0
90829.8
631718.5
Blue33
999616.2
544211.8
642119.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775301001506333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.3
38.738.4
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End6.1
red by 20.7
6421
#29
19.31.0
18.817.8
Auto11.0
Teleop7.5
End0.7
Second
18.50.3
19.319.0
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End1.3
red by 2.3
9996
#19
16.21.7
15.513.8
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End0.5
Third
9082
#16
9.80.3
9.79.4
Auto1.7
Teleop6.5
End1.6
blue by 2.0
5442
#33
11.81.0
14.113.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed