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Red69
42136.9
175643.5
248139.8
Blue72
319719.3
339711.7
233840.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123660501001502006972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.52.4
51.949.5
Auto12.3
Teleop25.8
End5.4
red by 3.5
40.00.4
33.433.8
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End6.1
Second
39.82.4
44.942.5
Auto11.5
Teleop23.9
End4.4
red by 20.6
3197
#15
19.30.4
23.323.7
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End2.3
Third
4213
#18
6.92.4
8.05.6
Auto5.7
Teleop0.9
End0.4
blue by 4.7
11.70.4
9.29.6
Auto7.1
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
78%Ensemble oddsEarned49%Ensemble oddsEarned