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Red96
999113.4
93020.0
999511.2
Blue112
940135.5
642119.3
999616.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39810206010012014016096112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#22
20.00.7
19.420.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End1.0
blue by 15.5
35.51.0
34.235.2
Auto14.6
Teleop19.0
End1.9
Second
9991
#13
13.41.1
12.213.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End1.6
blue by 5.9
6421
#29
19.31.0
18.019.0
Auto11.0
Teleop7.5
End0.7
Third
9995
#12
11.21.1
10.111.2
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End1.9
blue by 5.0
9996
#19
16.21.7
14.115.8
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End0.5