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Red67
46125.4
394022.1
317618.5
Blue66
501024.7
86821.5
809619.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84760501001502006766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#14
25.40.9
28.127.2
Auto7.3
Teleop17.2
End0.9
red by 0.6
24.70.3
26.926.7
Auto8.8
Teleop14.8
End1.1
Second
22.10.9
25.224.3
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End1.6
red by 0.6
868
#9
21.50.3
21.821.5
Auto13.6
Teleop5.2
End2.6
Third
18.50.9
22.221.3
Auto9.0
Teleop8.3
End1.2
blue by 0.9
19.50.3
21.020.8
Auto11.0
Teleop5.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed