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Red33
4518.9
69568.1
518813.3
Blue48
809619.5
765716.2
46125.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50720204060801001201403348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#19
18.91.0
22.021.0
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End1.5
blue by 6.4
461
#14
25.41.0
25.724.7
Auto7.3
Teleop17.2
End0.9
Second
5188
#28
13.31.0
15.814.8
Auto6.5
Teleop5.9
End0.8
blue by 6.2
19.51.0
19.318.4
Auto11.0
Teleop5.5
End2.9
Third
6956
#24
8.11.0
10.09.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End0.5
blue by 8.1
7657
#17
16.21.0
17.616.6
Auto8.3
Teleop6.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed