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Red72
540217.3
164618.4
745737.6
Blue63
86821.5
13514.3
427226.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions896602040801001201407263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#10
37.60.5
41.040.5
Auto11.9
Teleop21.5
End4.2
red by 11.6
26.00.1
25.625.6
Auto9.1
Teleop16.0
End0.9
Second
1646
#18
18.40.5
18.417.9
Auto6.9
Teleop9.9
End1.6
blue by 3.1
868
#9
21.50.1
20.920.8
Auto13.6
Teleop5.2
End2.6
Third
5402
#12
17.30.5
17.817.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End2.0
red by 3.0
135
#29
14.30.1
15.515.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed