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Red40
745737.6
13514.3
286713.2
Blue45
69568.1
174125.9
394022.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82620501001502002504045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#10
37.62.4
40.538.0
Auto11.9
Teleop21.5
End4.2
red by 11.7
25.91.3
26.625.4
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End2.9
Second
135
#29
14.32.4
15.413.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End0.4
blue by 7.8
22.11.3
22.821.6
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End1.6
Third
2867
#21
13.22.4
15.613.2
Auto6.7
Teleop4.0
End2.4
red by 5.0
6956
#24
8.11.3
9.48.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed