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Red62
46125.4
86821.5
87429.5
Blue48
582218.4
49268.0
23417.2
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604701001506248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#14
25.40.6
23.524.1
Auto7.3
Teleop17.2
End0.9
red by 7.0
5822
#11
18.41.3
20.118.9
Auto8.4
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Second
868
#9
21.50.6
20.821.4
Auto13.6
Teleop5.2
End2.6
red by 4.3
234
#22
17.20.1
16.816.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End0.7
Third
8742
#20
9.50.6
8.99.5
Auto5.8
Teleop3.0
End0.7
red by 1.6
4926
#25
8.00.1
8.58.5
Auto7.5
Teleop-1.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed