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Red2
13514.3
102415.8
69568.1
Blue74
174723.3
317618.5
86821.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58770100150200274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#23
15.83.5
20.316.8
Auto7.7
Teleop5.9
End2.2
blue by 7.6
23.30.2
24.524.3
Auto7.7
Teleop12.2
End3.5
Second
135
#29
14.33.5
20.917.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End0.4
blue by 7.2
868
#9
21.50.2
21.521.3
Auto13.6
Teleop5.2
End2.6
Third
6956
#24
8.13.5
13.510.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End0.5
blue by 10.4
18.50.2
21.321.0
Auto9.0
Teleop8.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned