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Red31
582218.4
164618.4
809619.5
Blue63
761724.5
46125.4
13514.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63720501001502002503003163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.6
20.119.5
Auto11.0
Teleop5.5
End2.9
blue by 5.9
461
#14
25.40.0
25.425.3
Auto7.3
Teleop17.2
End0.9
Second
5822
#11
18.40.6
19.018.4
Auto8.4
Teleop8.5
End1.6
blue by 6.2
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto7.0
Teleop14.9
End2.7
Third
1646
#18
18.40.6
19.018.4
Auto6.9
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 4.1
135
#29
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End0.4