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Red86
86821.5
102415.8
501024.7
Blue60
29228.1
540217.3
518813.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6866203040506080901008660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.5
24.625.2
Auto8.8
Teleop14.8
End1.1
blue by 3.4
292
#13
28.10.0
28.528.5
Auto12.8
Teleop14.7
End0.7
Second
868
#9
21.50.5
21.421.9
Auto13.6
Teleop5.2
End2.6
red by 4.2
5402
#12
17.30.0
17.617.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Third
1024
#23
15.80.5
15.716.2
Auto7.7
Teleop5.9
End2.2
red by 2.5
5188
#28
13.30.0
13.613.6
Auto6.5
Teleop5.9
End0.8