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Red127
150136.0
174729.3
745737.4
Blue105
501032.8
394031.2
548434.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10910990100120130127105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#12
37.40.6
36.336.8
Auto14.5
Teleop16.9
End6.0
red by 2.7
34.60.0
34.334.4
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End0.2
Second
36.00.6
34.935.5
Auto13.0
Teleop16.9
End6.1
red by 3.2
5010
#19
32.80.1
32.532.5
Auto9.1
Teleop22.1
End1.6
Third
1747
#26
29.30.6
28.228.8
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End3.4
blue by 1.9
3940
#24
31.20.0
30.931.0
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End3.9