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Red41
46138.8
386510.3
498226.9
Blue95
745737.4
349429.3
492622.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73904060801001201401604195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#1
38.81.8
33.631.9
Auto12.6
Teleop22.5
End3.8
red by 1.5
7457
#12
37.40.6
36.337.0
Auto14.5
Teleop16.9
End6.0
Second
4982
#21
26.91.8
22.821.0
Auto10.3
Teleop13.8
End2.8
blue by 2.3
29.30.6
22.923.6
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End6.0
Third
3865
#29
10.31.8
11.59.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End1.5
blue by 12.3
4926
#25
22.50.6
20.320.9
Auto10.1
Teleop9.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed52%Ensemble oddsEarned