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Red112
761726.3
745427.6
548434.6
Blue64
765717.9
174729.3
317622.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747205010015020011264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.62.3
26.328.6
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End0.2
red by 5.4
1747
#26
29.30.1
23.723.6
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End3.4
Second
7454
#20
27.62.3
20.222.5
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End3.4
red by 5.4
3176
#27
22.20.1
23.323.2
Auto9.4
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Third
7617
#14
26.32.3
20.522.9
Auto7.4
Teleop15.8
End3.1
red by 8.4
7657
#35
17.90.1
18.318.2
Auto8.7
Teleop8.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed