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Red97
761726.3
810329.6
29232.8
Blue73
348724.7
518821.2
219724.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88690501001502009773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#17
32.81.2
30.131.3
Auto13.6
Teleop17.8
End1.4
red by 8.1
3487
#28
24.70.5
23.223.7
Auto7.0
Teleop17.6
End0.1
Second
29.61.2
24.125.3
Auto10.6
Teleop16.6
End2.4
red by 5.1
2197
#11
24.50.5
19.419.9
Auto7.1
Teleop15.2
End2.2
Third
7617
#14
26.31.2
22.924.1
Auto7.4
Teleop15.8
End3.1
red by 5.2
5188
#31
21.20.5
22.422.9
Auto10.3
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed