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Red110
349429.3
810329.6
427235.5
Blue71
4528.3
949115.1
150136.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957605015011071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.51.4
33.134.5
Auto12.8
Teleop20.7
End2.0
blue by 0.5
36.00.3
34.434.0
Auto13.0
Teleop16.9
End6.1
Second
29.61.4
25.326.7
Auto10.6
Teleop16.6
End2.4
red by 1.3
45
#6
28.30.3
25.024.6
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End3.7
Third
29.31.4
25.026.5
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End6.0
red by 14.1
9491
#32
15.10.3
11.811.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsEarned