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Red76
501032.8
348724.7
394031.2
Blue91
102427.9
82931.1
498226.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87887075808590951001057691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#19
32.80.2
29.429.1
Auto9.1
Teleop22.1
End1.6
red by 1.7
829
#13
31.10.8
31.332.1
Auto9.8
Teleop17.9
End3.4
Second
3940
#24
31.20.2
27.227.0
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End3.9
red by 3.3
1024
#10
27.90.8
25.826.6
Auto11.3
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Third
3487
#28
24.70.2
22.822.6
Auto7.0
Teleop17.6
End0.1
blue by 2.2
4982
#21
26.90.8
21.922.7
Auto10.3
Teleop13.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned